Soccer Match Outcome Probabilities
Professional-soccer analytics – data from joury.eu
Queryable feed of model-derived win/draw/loss probabilities, expected goals, most-likely score, over-2.5 and both-teams-to-score for every fixture pairing. Filter by team or league. Refreshed daily.
Data Source
Analytics Provider
Soccer Match Outcome Probabilities
Professional-soccer analytics – data from joury.eu
Queryable feed of model-derived win/draw/loss probabilities, expected goals, most-likely score, over-2.5 and both-teams-to-score for every fixture pairing. Filter by team or league. Refreshed daily.
Bulk data endpoint — not a realtime API. Each pull queries the source live and can return thousands to millions of rows, so responses take seconds, not milliseconds, and arrive as a downloadable CSV with a JSON preview.
Input parameters
This insight accepts 13 parameters to customize your result.
About This Feed
Who this is for
Data accuracy and methodology verified. Originally released July 21, 2026. Last updated July 22, 2026.
How requests & billing work
Every request returns a single CSV file — no pagination. You get a preview and a download link in the response. Each request is capped at 2,500 rows for speed and safety.
You're charged 2 credits per request on 200 OK — not per row. One request = 2 credits, whether you get 10 rows or 2,500.
The only reason to request less data is relevance — use filters to scope results. Tighter filters = a smaller, faster file at the same cost.
Need rows in the response body instead of a file? Pass delivery: "inline" and rows come back directly in the response, subject to the same 2,500-row cap. Handy for live-UI integrations.
A query returning the full 2,500 rows → 1 request → 2 credits, delivered as a single CSV. Filter to a subset → still 1 request → 2 credits, smaller file.
API key required
Sign in to auto-populate your key and make live requests. The endpoint URL and code are real — only the key is gated.
# Bulk export to GCS — full result delivered as a single file.
# This is the default; you don't need to pass a delivery flag.
# Response carries a preview + download_url; you GET that URL to grab the file.
curl -X POST "https://arilytics.api.spartera.com/endpoints/v1/soccer-match-outcome-probabilities" \
-H "X-API-Key: YOUR_API_KEY" \
-H "Content-Type: application/json" \
-d '{
"format": "csv",
"limit": 1000000
}'
# Then pull the actual file (URL is public-read GCS — no auth needed):
# curl -O "<download_url from response.response.download_url>"Response envelope: data.spartera (billing/file stats) · data.response.download_url (HTTPS link to file) · data.response.preview (first 50 rows)
Common Questions
Soccer Match Outcome Probabilities is built to answer this directly. Queryable feed of model-derived win/draw/loss probabilities, expected goals, most-likely score, over-2.5 and both-teams-to-score for every fixture pairing. Filter by team or league. Refreshed daily. Returned fields include div, home_team, away_team, prob_home_win. Data is sourced from joury.eu, refreshed daily, and delivered on demand by Arilytics through Spartera.
Soccer Match Outcome Probabilities returns the underlying records rather than a pre-computed leaderboard, so you rank them on whichever measure the question calls for. Sort on the returned fields (div, home_team, away_team, prob_home_win). Data is sourced from joury.eu, refreshed daily, and delivered on demand by Arilytics through Spartera.
Soccer Match Outcome Probabilities is built to answer this directly. Queryable feed of model-derived win/draw/loss probabilities, expected goals, most-likely score, over-2.5 and both-teams-to-score for every fixture pairing. Filter by team or league. Refreshed daily. Returned fields include div, home_team, away_team, prob_home_win. Data is sourced from joury.eu, refreshed daily, and delivered on demand by Arilytics through Spartera.
Queryable feed of model-derived win/draw/loss probabilities, expected goals, most-likely score, over-2.5 and both-teams-to-score for every fixture pairing. Filter by team or league. Refreshed daily.
Each pull costs 2 credits (from $1.00), billed only on a successful 200 OK. You're charged once per request — whether the file holds 10 rows or 100,000 — not per row.
The data is pulled live from joury.eu at request time and delivered by Arilytics. Each request queries the source directly rather than returning a cached snapshot.
Sign up for a free Spartera account, add credits, then call the endpoint from the marketplace or directly over REST with your API key. Each request returns a downloadable CSV plus a JSON preview and a download URL in the response.
The underlying source refreshes every day. Because each pull queries the source live, you receive the latest available rows at the moment you make the request.
Each request returns the full result as a downloadable CSV file, with a JSON preview and a download URL in the response. If you'd rather receive rows directly in the API response body, pass delivery: "inline".
Recommended For You
Price
2 credits · from $1.00 per request*
Why sign up?
- Pull this and 12,000+ other analytical products on-demand
- Flexible credit packages from $0.50/credit
- Download results as CSV, share, and set alerts
- Call directly via REST API with your own key
- GDPR-compliant · billed only on a successful 200 OK
Refresh Frequency
Region
Europe
Parameters
13enabled · all optional
Sources
- Show sources information
Data for the following insight was sourced from the following:
Visit Provider - Show publisher informationVisit Publisher
- How to Cite
Chicago Style:
Arilytics. "Soccer Match Outcome Probabilities." Spartera Analytics Marketplace, 2026. https://marketplace.spartera.com/products/soccer-match-outcome-probabilities/0131401c-3423-484f-8dda-37e58bfef514
MLA Style:
Arilytics. "Soccer Match Outcome Probabilities." Spartera Analytics Marketplace, 2026, https://marketplace.spartera.com/products/soccer-match-outcome-probabilities/0131401c-3423-484f-8dda-37e58bfef514.
APA Style:
Arilytics. (2026). Soccer Match Outcome Probabilities. Spartera Analytics Marketplace. https://marketplace.spartera.com/products/soccer-match-outcome-probabilities/0131401c-3423-484f-8dda-37e58bfef514