This calculation averages, across English Premier League players, the share of each player's ball carries that ended with a goal in the 2024-25 season. It covers the 295 players with at least one recorded carry, out of 562 in the dataset.
The current value is 0.0026, meaning about 1 in every 380 carries ends with a goal. Across the league, 179 carries ended in a goal. The rate is small, so even a handful of goal-ending carries marks a player as an unusually direct ball carrier.
