Average Implied Probability of Favorites
Professional Football calculation – data from oddspapi.io
Calculates the average implied win probability (1/price) for the team with the shortest odds (the favorite) across all 'Winner' markets. This figure represents the collective market's typical baseline expectation for a winning outcome, excluding the bookmaker's margin (vig). Use this to benchmark the strength of favorites over a given period.
Data Source
Analytics Provider
Average Implied Probability of Favorites
Professional Football calculation – data from oddspapi.io
Calculates the average implied win probability (1/price) for the team with the shortest odds (the favorite) across all 'Winner' markets. This figure represents the collective market's typical baseline expectation for a winning outcome, excluding the bookmaker's margin (vig). Use this to benchmark the strength of favorites over a given period.
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About This Insight
This computed calculation provides Calculates the average implied win probability (1/price) for the team with the shortest odds (the favorite) across all 'Winner' markets. This figure represents the collective market's typical baseline expectation for a winning outcome, excluding the bookmaker's margin (vig). Use this to benchmark the strength of favorites over a given period.. Built from official oddspapi.io data, this insight is processed and verified by Spartera to ensure accuracy and reliability. Results are delivered on-demand — no subscriptions, no data dumps. You get exactly the insight you need, when you need it.
Who this is for
Data accuracy and methodology verified. Originally released October 1, 2025. Last updated April 3, 2026.
Common Questions
Calculates the average implied win probability (1/price) for the team with the shortest odds (the favorite) across all 'Winner' markets. This figure represents the collective market's typical baseline expectation for a winning outcome, excluding the bookmaker's margin (vig). Use this to benchmark the strength of favorites over a given period.
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Chicago Style:
Spartera. "Average Implied Probability of Favorites." Spartera Analytics Marketplace, 2025. https://marketplace.spartera.com/products/average-implied-probability-of-favorites/95c4fe24-29e4-4c00-8ce4-21fea1832e6e
MLA Style:
Spartera. "Average Implied Probability of Favorites." Spartera Analytics Marketplace, 2025, https://marketplace.spartera.com/products/average-implied-probability-of-favorites/95c4fe24-29e4-4c00-8ce4-21fea1832e6e.
APA Style:
Spartera. (2025). Average Implied Probability of Favorites. Spartera Analytics Marketplace. https://marketplace.spartera.com/products/average-implied-probability-of-favorites/95c4fe24-29e4-4c00-8ce4-21fea1832e6e